Bitcoin’s 165 % achieve to date this quarter is the very best second quarter efficiency on report and the very best quarterly proportion achieve for the reason that finish of 2017. The stellar features have bolstered the long-term bullish technical setup.
Whereas the relative energy index is reporting overbought situations, there are not any indicators of bullish exhaustion on the every day, Three-day or weekly charts. In consequence, the outlook stays bullish with resistances lined up at $11,247 and $11,394, in accordance with Bitstamp knowledge.
A minor pullback to $10,000 could possibly be seen if the value once more fails to carry onto features above $11,000, validating a extra bearish setup on the Four-hour chart.
The bullish outlook can be invalidated if the value finds acceptance beneath $9,097 (Could 30 excessive).
Bitcoin (BTC) seems to be powering to the very best second quarter worth achieve on report and the very best quarterly efficiency total since late 2017.
At press time, the 165 % achieve on the April 1 opening worth of $Four,092 is the largest proportion rise noticed in Could to June thus far, going by Bitstamp knowledge.
Additional, bitcoin’s triple-digit achieve to date for Q2 is the very best quarterly rise total for the reason that fourth quarter of 2017. Over that interval, the cryptocurrency rose 230 %, propelling costs to a lifetime excessive of $20,000 in December.
Bitcoin has rallied 165 % to date this quarter, surpassing the earlier second quarter report achieve of 130 % seen in 2017.
Costs jumped a meager 10.9 % within the first quarter this yr.
The 626 % rise seen within the first three months of 2013 is bitcoin’s greatest quarterly achieve thus far.
With the 165 % worth rise, BTC appears to have left the bear market far behind. The truth is, the bearish-to-bullish pattern change was confirmed on April 2, when costs rallied $1,000 to ranges above $5,000.
The cryptocurrency then rose above $eight,000 within the run-up to New York Blockchain Week held from Could 10 to Could 18 and remained bid after the occasion to hit highs close to $9,100 on Could 30.
The 2-month double-digit successful streak has now prolonged into June, with costs briefly hitting 15-month highs above $11,000 over the weekend. The current leg greater from $7,500 to $10,000 could possibly be related to Fb’s foray into cryptocurrencies.
Observers consider that Fb’s Libra challenge won’t solely enhance the adoption of cryptocurrencies, however will even strengthen bitcoin’s enchantment as an anti-establishment asset.
Additional, the main cryptocurrency by market worth is about to endure a mining reward halving in Could subsequent yr. Subsequently, the long-term worth prospects look shiny.
Within the quick run, nonetheless, a repeated failure to carry onto features above $11,000 might yield a correction. As of writing, BTC is altering fingers at $10,880, representing 2.Four % features on the day.
Weekly, Three-day and every day charts
The RSIs on the weekly, Three-day and every day charts are reporting overbought situations with above-70 readings.
Thus far, nonetheless, costs aren’t exhibiting any indicators of bullish exhaustion. The bullish construction of upper lows and better highs is undamaged and the 5-and 10-candle transferring averages (MA) on all three charts proceed to pattern north.
The overbought readings on the RSIs would achieve credence provided that indicators of bull exhaustion emerge within the type of candlestick patterns akin to doji, bearish engulfing, hanging man, and so on.
The bullish outlook can be invalidated provided that and when costs drop beneath $9,097 (Could 30 excessive), invalidating the bullish greater lows and better highs sample.
On the upper aspect, resistance is seen at $11,247 (Sunday’s excessive) and $11,394 (50 % Fibonacci retracement of the bear market drop).
BTC has failed twice over the weekend to carry onto features above $10,000 with the RSI charting decrease highs (bearish divergence).
That RSI sample would achieve credence if the cryptocurrency once more fades a break above $10,000, resulting in a drop towards $10,000 – the assist of the ascending trendline.
BTC was anticipated to placed on an excellent present within the three months to June 30 this yr, as plenty of technical indicators had turned bullish in February and March.
Disclosure: The writer holds no cryptocurrency on the time of writing
Bitcoin picture through CoinDesk archives; charts by TradingView